Bitcoin $100K in 2025 & 2026 ? Critical $93K Level Analysis
· Bitcoin’s Volatile Dance: The surge from the $83K low to $93K is correct and ongoing. BTC is currently trading in the $92,992–$93,000 range with a 7–8% gain today. Liquidations reached $484 million. Although the Fear & Greed Index remains in the “extreme fear” zone, December’s historical average gain of 9.7% means a closing price above $100K is still possible.
· The Vanguard Effect:
The lifting of the ETF ban and high volume in BlackRock’s IBIT was spot on. This triggered a roughly 6% pump.
· Saylor and MicroStrategy
The sales threat and delisting risk have been updated. Saylor announced a new $12 million BTC purchase, but the MSCI delisting decision continues to pressure the stock.
· Trump-Dell Baby BTC Fund
The news of a $6.25 billion donation and $250 BTC per baby is correct and gaining traction. Trump’s pro-crypto policies and potential Fed nominee announcements are being discussed.
· Ethereum Fusaka and Altcoins
The upgrade is complete, with ETH rising 9.1% to the $3,050 level; altcoins like SUI, PENGU, and HYPE recorded double-digit gains.
· Regulation and Macro
The UK recognizing crypto as “property” and the EU’s MiCAR regulation taking effect on December 30 are correct. The Fed ending balance sheet reduction and rising rate cut expectations are boosting liquidity.
In short
The news remains largely consistent, but November’s declines have tempered overly optimistic predictions (like $250K). A realistic target now appears to be the $100-125K band.
New Developments
Layers Added Today – Why Is the Market Still Shaking?
Fresh news from recent hours is strengthening the rally but also reminding us of risks:
· Trump Family Token Collapse
Assets linked to Eric Trump’s American Bitcoin Corp. and other Trump family ventures have plunged 75-90%. This is dampening hopes for a “Trump rally.”
· Grayscale and Cycle Theory
Grayscale predicts BTC will reach a new all-time high in 2026 but notes that the traditional 4-year halving cycle has been altered by institutional entry.
· Coinbase CEO and ETF Flows
Brian Armstrong stated that “BTC has no chance of going to zero.” ETFs have recovered with positive net inflows.
· Technical Analysis and Predictions
The $93K resistance level is critical. The RSI is cooling from overbought territory. Analysts emphasize that reaching $100K will require sustained ETF buying and macro support.
· Other Hot Developments
A major purchase by an old Bitcoin whale is being interpreted as a positive signal. The OECD forecasts that Fed rates will decline towards the end of 2026. Tom Lee highlights a 2-month “high risk, high reward” window.
Social Media and Searches
Panic Subsiding, Hope Rising
“Bitcoin rebound”and “Vanguard ETF” are trending on social media. In Turkish, searches for “Bitcoin December rally” have increased. The general trend suggests panic is giving way to cautious optimism.
Conclusion
Yes, These Are True – But There’s More; Will December Bring a Breakout?
In summary,the previous news was largely correct – but with new details (Trump token collapse, cycle debates, ETF flows), the picture is more balanced and clear. If BTC breaks the $93K resistance, the $100K+ target could come into play; if it fails, the $85-87K levels may be tested. In the long term, institutional adoption and potential pro-crypto policies could enable higher levels, while short-term volatility seems likely to persist. DYOR (Do Your Own Research), avoid panic selling – this is being interpreted not as a winter, but as a reset. Do you think the rally will continue?